It may appear at first glance as an article that attempts to “condense” and present the latest developments on the question of the acceptance of S-400 missile systems by Turkey, but the report by Reuters on the potential impact of sanctions and additional pressures on the vulnerable Turkish economy through the already diminishing lira, gives a sense of clear warning to Turkey, that in case of non-compliance, developments for the country could prove to be uncontrollable.
The issue, the agency says, will have to be resolved within the next few weeks, leaving even open the possibility of Turkey becoming a NATO issue, despite the country being part of the Atlantic Alliance for 67 consecutive years.
Of course, the article refers to the prospect of Turkey and its defense industry moving away from the F-35 Lightning II fifth-generation fighter program, the threat of stopping the training of Turkish pilots and ground staff in Arizona, USA.
As for the impact on Turkish companies’ involvement in the global military supply chain, these results are estimated to be spreading to the economy that is already facing the risk of a recession.
However, analysts report to Reuters that sanctions alone are not enough to bring about a final collapse in the US-Turkey bilateral relationship. The report refers to the prospect of a meeting between Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan and Donald Trump on the sidelines of the G-20 summit in Japan (28-29 June).
The Turks that will crew the Russian S-400 Triumf are already in Russia and are pursuing a training program, while Erdogan has called the deal a done deal in the sense of “irreversible”.
The report does not fail to mention the wider differences between the US and Turkey in the Middle East region, such as the issue of the Syrian civil war and the issue of sanctions against Iran.
In general, Reuters says in the controversial analysis that if the situation escalates and the gradual sanctioning of the Turks returns can also affect the Turkish defense industry and the F-16 production line that is used by the Turkish Air Force, so that they may not only, not get the F-35, but they may not even be able toupgrade the F-16.