Oil falls on spread of Wuhan virus

Oil prices fell on Thursday on alarm over the economic impact of the coronavirus that continues to spread worldwide while the market also considered the possibility of an early Opec meeting.

Brent crude was down $1.08, or 1.8 per cent, at $58.73 a barrel by 1042 GMT, having risen 0.5 per cent on Wednesday. US crude was down 89 cents, or 1.7 per cent, at $52.44 after dropping 0.3 per cent in the previous session.

Countries have started isolating hundreds of citizens evacuated from the Chinese city of Wuhan on Thursday to stop the spread of an epidemic that has killed 170 people as worry about the impact on the world’s second-biggest economy rattled markets.

Prices had steadied in recent days after a rout pushed them to three-month lows as investors tried to assess what economic damage the virus might inflict and to demand for crude oil and its products.

But now the rising death toll from the virus and its spread has again turned screens red, with global equities falling. The MSCI world equity index, which tracks shares in 49 countries, fell 0.5 per cent as European shares followed Asian indexes down.

“The Libyan outage is not providing much of a floor. Only an additional Opec cut could change things.”

The World Health Organisation’s Emergency Committee is set for another meeting later on Thursday to reconsider whether the rapid spread of the virus should be considered a global emergency.

Airlines around the world are suspending or reducing direct flights to China as travel warnings are issued by governments and passenger numbers drop.

OPEC

Algeria’s energy minister Mohammad Arkab said on Wednesday it was very possible that an Opec meeting could be advanced to February instead of the scheduled meeting in March.

ING cautioned that outages in Libya — where production has been steadily declining amid a blockade — should not be discounted.

“While demand is a real concern, it’s important not to forget about the supply disruptions from Libya — if these losses persist, it would be enough to swing the market into deficit this quarter,” ING said in a note.

Inventories

The bigger than expected build in US crude oil inventories last week also kept pressure on prices.

Crude stocks rose by more than seven times market expectations, gaining 3.5 million barrels in the week to January 24, the US. Energy Information Administration (EIA) said on Wednesday.

Gasoline stocks rose to a record high, increasing for a 12th consecutive week to 261.1 million barrels, the EIA said.